South Korean Market Surpasses 5,000 Amid Tariff Warning and Mixed Global Signals
Updated (25 articles)
KOSPI Breaks 5,000 on Record Volume and Tariff Noise The benchmark index closed at 5,084.85, up 2.73 % and marking its first finish above the 5,000‑point threshold, on the back of 472 million shares traded (≈ 28 trillion won)[1]. A brief dip followed President Trump’s announcement of a possible rise to 25 % tariffs on Korean goods, but investors treated it as short‑term volatility[1]. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix hit all‑time highs, lifting the tech rally[1].
Pre‑Fed Decision Session Saw KOSPI Slip While KOSDAQ Soared On Jan 26 the KOSPI fell 0.81 % to 4,949.59 as traders awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate verdict[2]. In contrast, the tech‑heavy KOSDAQ surged 7.09 % past the 1,000‑point mark, its strongest level in over four years[2]. The rally was driven by semiconductor stocks even as major chipmakers posted mixed results[2].
Iran Unrest Prompted Modest KOSPI Drop but KOSDAQ Jumped Earlier on Jan 26 the KOSPI slipped 0.48 % to 4,966.03 amid concerns over possible U.S. intervention in Iran’s unrest[3]. The KOSDAQ still rose more than 5 % after a brief program‑buying pause, reflecting strong secondary‑market demand[3]. The won appreciated sharply to 1,441.5 per dollar, supporting market liquidity[3].
Semiconductor Leaders Show Divergent Momentum Samsung Electronics rose 4.87 % to a record 159,500 won on Jan 27, while SK hynix jumped 8.7 % to an all‑time high of 800,000 won[1]. The previous day Samsung was flat and SK hynix fell 4.04 %[2], and on the morning session Samsung edged up 0.33 % while SK hynix dropped 1.96 %[3]. Analysts note that fourth‑quarter earnings expectations are already priced in, prompting focus on upcoming product‑roadmap calls[2].
Investor Flows Shift Between Foreign and Domestic Players Foreign investors net‑bought about 850 billion won on Jan 27, contrasting with a net sell of roughly 1 trillion won by domestic retail investors[1]. The day before, foreigners sold 1.54 trillion won while institutions off‑loaded 158.4 billion won and individuals bought a modest 1.71 billion won[2]. These flow reversals underscore the market’s sensitivity to external policy cues and geopolitical risk.
Sources (3 articles)
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[1]
Yonhap: Seoul Shares Close Above 5,000 Points Amid Tariff Threat: Details the KOSPI’s historic close, heavy trading volume, foreign net buying, and record semiconductor gains despite Trump’s tariff warning.
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[2]
Yonhap: South Korean Stocks Slip as Fed Decision Looms, KOSDAQ Hits Four‑Year High: Highlights a KOSPI decline ahead of the Fed, a KOSDAQ surge to a four‑year high, and mixed chipmaker performance amid geopolitical tension.
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[3]
Yonhap: South Korean Stocks Slip as Iran Tensions Rise, Won Gains: Reports a modest KOSPI drop, a strong KOSDAQ rise despite a program‑buying pause, and won appreciation amid Iran‑related uncertainty.
Timeline
Dec 8, 2025 – The KOSPI climbs 1.34 % to 4,154.85 ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s two‑day FOMC meeting, with foreign investors net‑buying 321.3 billion won while locals sell 342 billion won; analysts price in a 0.25 ppt rate cut and watch upcoming earnings from Oracle and Broadcom [25].
Dec 15, 2025 – The index falls 1.84 % to 4,090.59 as renewed worries about AI‑related profitability spark selling in Samsung (‑3.76 %) and SK hynix (‑2.98 %); the won strengthens to 1,471.0 per dollar and three‑year Treasury yields drop 9.3 bps to 3.00 % [24].
Dec 16, 2025 – KOSPI slips below 4,000, closing at 3,999.13 (‑2.24 %) while investors await U.S. November payroll data; Daishin Securities’ Lee Kyoung‑min warns that AI‑sector downgrades heighten volatility [23].
Dec 17, 2025 – The market opens lower (‑1.33 % to 4,002.6) as U.S. indices retreat on fresh AI valuation fears; Samsung drops 0.65 % and SK hynix rises 1.09 % amid a 1.3‑won appreciation of the won to 1,478.5 /USD [22].
Dec 18, 2025 – KOSPI declines 1.53 % to 3,994.5; Oracle’s data‑center pull‑out fuels AI‑profitability concerns, but Daishin’s Lee Kyoung‑min notes Micron’s earnings surprise limits the drop [21].
Dec 26, 2025 – A “Santa rally” lifts the KOSPI by 0.56 % to 4,131.59; Samsung (+2.88 %) and SK hynix (+1.02 %) lead gains, while the won weakens to 1,453.2 per dollar [20].
Jan 2, 2026 (open) – In the first 15 minutes of 2026 trading, the KOSPI rises 0.59 % to 4,238.83, driven by retail buying that offsets foreign selling; Samsung (+2.59 %) and SK hynix (+0.92 %) lead the top‑cap rally [19].
Jan 2, 2026 (mid‑morning) – The index climbs to 4,260.55 (+1.1 %) as retail investors push semiconductor leaders Samsung (+3.67 %) and SK hynix (+2.3 %) higher; the won slips to 1,442.75 /USD [18].
Jan 2, 2026 (close) – KOSPI closes at an all‑time high of 4,309.63 (+2.27 %), with Samsung (+7.17 %) and SK hynix (+3.99 %) hitting record levels; foreign investors net‑buy 644.68 billion won amid record 2025 exports of $709.7 bn [17].
Jan 5, 2026 – A tech‑driven rally lifts KOSPI 3.43 % to 4,457.52, a new 4,400‑level high; Samsung surges 7.47 % to a six‑year peak, while the won weakens to 1,443.8 /USD and three‑year yields ease to 2.933 % [16].
Jan 6, 2026 – KOSPI breaks the 4,500 barrier for the first time, closing at 4,525.48 (+1.52 %); semiconductor, brokerage and shipbuilding stocks lead, with Samsung up 0.58 % and SK hynix +4.31 %; domestic retail investors buy 597.55 billion won, offsetting foreign net sales [13][14][15].
Jan 7, 2026 (open) – KOSPI opens sharply higher, jumping 1.53 % to 4,594.85, as semiconductor giants Samsung (+2.81 %) and SK hynix (+3.99 %) rally; the won trades at 1,448.6 /USD [12].
Jan 7, 2026 (close) – The index sets a new record at 4,551.06 (+0.57 %) after briefly topping 4,600; Hyundai Motor soars 13.8 % following Boston Dynamics’ Atlas demo at CES, while foreign investors net‑buy 1.25 trillion won [10][11][12].
Jan 8, 2026 (open) – Seoul shares open higher, with KOSPI at 4,556.33 (+0.12 %); defense and shipbuilding names such as Hanwha Aerospace (+8.12 %) and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (+5.39 %) drive the advance, while the won weakens to 1,449.1 /USD [9].
Jan 8, 2026 (close) – KOSPI posts a fresh record high of 4,552.37 (+0.03 %) despite profit‑taking; shipbuilding and defense stocks lead gains, while Samsung falls 1.56 % despite a record Q4 earnings outlook; the won slides to 1,450.6 /USD and three‑year yields dip to 2.902 % [8].
Jan 9, 2026 – KOSPI reaches 4,586.32 (+0.75 %), a fresh near‑4,600 record, propelled by autos (Hyundai Motor +7.49 %) and defense; foreign investors sell for the second straight day, netting 1.59 trillion won outflows [7].
Jan 16, 2026 (open) – KOSPI opens above 4,800 for the first time at 4,807.36 (+0.21 %); Wall Street’s TSMC earnings boost chip sentiment, while Naver and NCSOFT fall after being excluded from a government AI‑foundation competition [6].
Jan 16, 2026 (close) – The index closes at a record 4,840.74 (+0.99 %), with semiconductor leaders Samsung (+3.47 %) and SK hynix (+0.93 %) sustaining the rally; market cap surpasses 4,000 trillion won and foreign investors net‑buy 405 billion won [5].
Jan 19, 2026 – KOSPI intraday tops 4,900 at 1:57 p.m., marking the 12th consecutive daily gain; auto and tech stocks lead the rally, underscoring continued bullish momentum early in the year [4].
Jan 26, 2026 (morning) – KOSPI slips 0.48 % to 4,966.03 as investors watch U.S. response to Iran unrest; Samsung edges up 0.33 % while SK hynix falls 1.96 %; the won strengthens to 1,441.5 /USD [3].
Jan 26, 2026 (later) – The index falls 0.81 % to 4,949.59 ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, while the tech‑heavy KOSDAQ surges 7 % past 1,000; analysts such as Kiwoom’s Han Ji‑young urge monitoring HBM4 roadmap calls [2].
Jan 27, 2026 – KOSPI closes above 5,000 for the first time at 5,084.85 (+2.73 %); despite President Trump’s warning of raising South Korean tariffs to 25 %, the market treats the dip as short‑term noise; Samsung hits a record 159,500 won and SK hynix 800,000 won, while foreign investors net‑buy 850 billion won [1].
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Yonhap: Seoul Shares Close Above 5,000 Points Amid Tariff Threat
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